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Not a sure thing, but beats what we've had lately.

Lake Effect Snow Watch
Sponsored by State Farm

Statement as of 9:43 AM EST on January 08, 2007

... Lake effect snow watch in effect from 7 PM EST this evening
through Wednesday evening...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a lake effect
snow watch... which is in effect from 7 PM EST this evening
through Wednesday Evening.

Lake effect snow bands are expected to organize on westerly winds over
northern Oswego, southern Jefferson and Lewis counties this
evening, then remain nearly stationary and strengthen overnight.
The Tug Hill could see 6 to 12 inches by morning.

Tuesday morning the band is forecast to drift north toward
the Watertown for a few hours, where 3 to 5 inches could fall,
before heading back south during the afternoon and settling across
Oswego County after 7pm. The band is then forecast to remain
nearly stationary across Oswego County through Wednesday
afternoon. Total snowfall over Oswego County from Tuesday night
through Wednesday afternoon could exceed a foot of snow.

Snowfall amounts will vary greatly across the region. Very slight
changes in wind direction will mean significant differences in
total snowfall.

Stay tuned for further updates and possible warnings.

A lake effect snow watch means that significant winter weather is
possible in localized areas within the next 36 hours. Stay tuned
to NOAA Weather Radio and other radio and TV stations for further
details or updates.

Special Weather Statement
Sponsored by State Farm

Statement as of 5:03 AM EST on January 08, 2007

... Lake effect snows to make a return Tuesday through Wednesday...

A change to wintry conditions is in store for the region
following a period of very mild weather conditions. Low pressure
will lift north from western New York this morning reaching the
Saint Lawrence valley tonight.

Periods of rain this morning will change over to snow during the
late morning and afternoon hours... but little if any accumulation
is expected.

Much colder air will be drawn down out of Canada behind the
departing low Tuesday and Wednesday. This flow of colder air over
the unseasonably Warm Lake Ontario waters will result in bands of
lake effect snow.

The lake effect snow is expected to initially affect the Tug Hill
region of Jefferson... Lewis and Oswego counties Tuesday with
localized accumulations of 1 to 3 inches.

The lake snows are expected to intensify and shift south of the
Tug Hill Tuesday night and Wednesday as the flow turns northwest.
The heaviest snows are expected to affected areas from far
northeast Wayne County through northern Cayuga and Oswego
counties.

At this point... the best estimate would be for totals of 3 to 6
inches... but the potential does exists for even heavier amounts.
If conditions continue to look favorable a lake effect snow watch
may be issued later today.

Travel will become more difficult Tuesday and Wednesday. Your
National Weather Service will continue to monitor this evolving
scenario and issue statements as necessary.
 

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It has turned into a warning! Come on SNOW!

/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0001.070109T0000Z- 070111T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W. 0001.070109T0000Z-070111T0000Z/ OSWEGO- JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 251 PM EST MON JAN 8 2007
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL ORGANIZE ON WESTERLY WINDS OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO... SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES THIS EVENING... THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT. THE TUG HILL COULD SEE UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW BY MORNING.

TUESDAY MORNING THE BAND IS FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTH TOWARD WATERTOWN FOR A FEW HOURS...WHERE A QUICK 3 TO 5 INCHES COULD FALL...BEFORE HEADING BACK SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND SETTLING ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY AFTER 7PM. THE BAND IS THEN FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OVER OSWEGO COUNTY DURING THAT TIMEFRAME COULD RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO FEET.
 
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